YouGov for The Times / Sky News
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 177 of 650 seats on 27.0%, ahead of Conservative on 23.0% (151 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
27.0%
177 seats
▼ 3.0
Conservative
23.0%
151 seats
▲ 2.0
Reform UK
22.0%
144 seats
―
Liberal Democrats
11.0%
72 seats
▲ 1.0
Green
10.0%
66 seats
▲ 2.0
Restore Britain
3.0%
20 seats
▼ 3.0
Other parties
3.0%
20 seats
―
2 more
SNP
2.0%
13 seats
―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 27.0% | 177 |
| Conservative | 23.0% | 151 |
| Liberal Democrats | 11.0% | 72 |
| Reform UK | 22.0% | 144 |
| Green | 10.0% | 66 |
| SNP | 2.0% | 13 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 7 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 3.0% | 20 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 0.0% | 0 |