Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
162 of 650 seats on 25.0%, ahead of Labour on 18.0% (117 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 05 May 2026
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
25.0%
162 seats▼ 1.0
Labour
18.0%
117 seats―
Conservative
17.0%
111 seats▼ 2.0
Green
15.0%
98 seats―
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
91 seats▲ 1.0
Other
7.0%
46 seats▲ 1.0
Other parties
4.0%
25 seats▲ 1.0
2 more
SNP
3.0%
19 seats▲ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 27 Apr 2026.
Reform UK25.0%
162 seats
▼ 1.0
Labour18.0%
117 seats
―
Conservative17.0%
111 seats
▼ 2.0
Green15.0%
98 seats
―
Liberal Democrats14.0%
91 seats
▲ 1.0
Other7.0%
46 seats
▲ 1.0
SNP3.0%
19 seats
▲ 1.0
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
18.0%
117
Conservative
17.0%
111
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
91
Reform UK
25.0%
162
Green
15.0%
98
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
7.0%
46
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,755 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).