YouGov voting intention, 05 May 2026
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 162 of 650 seats on 25.0%, ahead of Labour on 18.0% (117 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
25.0%
162 seats
▼ 1.0
Labour
18.0%
117 seats
―
Conservative
17.0%
111 seats
▼ 2.0
Green
15.0%
98 seats
―
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
91 seats
▲ 1.0
Other
7.0%
46 seats
▲ 1.0
Other parties
4.0%
25 seats
▲ 1.0
2 more
SNP
3.0%
19 seats
▲ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 18.0% | 117 |
| Conservative | 17.0% | 111 |
| Liberal Democrats | 14.0% | 91 |
| Reform UK | 25.0% | 162 |
| Green | 15.0% | 98 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 19 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 7.0% | 46 |