Survation
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 182 of 650 seats on 28.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 23.0% (149 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
28.0%
182 seats
▲ 2.0
Reform UK
23.0%
149 seats
―
Conservative
21.0%
137 seats
▲ 3.0
Liberal Democrats
10.0%
65 seats
▼ 2.0
Green
8.0%
52 seats
▼ 4.0
Other
4.0%
26 seats
▲ 4.0
Other parties
6.0%
39 seats
▲ 6.0
3 more
SNP
2.0%
13 seats
▲ 2.0
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
13 seats
▲ 2.0
Restore Britain
2.0%
13 seats
▲ 2.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 28.0% | 182 |
| Conservative | 21.0% | 137 |
| Liberal Democrats | 10.0% | 65 |
| Reform UK | 23.0% | 149 |
| Green | 8.0% | 52 |
| SNP | 2.0% | 13 |
| Plaid Cymru | 2.0% | 13 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 2.0% | 13 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 4.0% | 26 |