Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
162 of 650 seats on 25.0%, ahead of Labour on 19.0% (124 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 24 November 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
25.0%
162 seats▼ 2.0
Labour
19.0%
124 seats―
Conservative
18.0%
117 seats▲ 1.0
Green
16.0%
104 seats▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
98 seats▲ 2.0
SNP
3.0%
19 seats―
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats―
2 more
Other
3.0%
20 seats▲ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats▼ 1.0
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 17 Nov 2025.
Reform UK25.0%
162 seats
▼ 2.0
Labour19.0%
124 seats
―
Conservative18.0%
117 seats
▲ 1.0
Green16.0%
104 seats
▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats15.0%
98 seats
▲ 2.0
SNP3.0%
19 seats
―
Other3.0%
20 seats
▲ 1.0
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
▼ 1.0
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
19.0%
124
Conservative
18.0%
117
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
98
Reform UK
25.0%
162
Green
16.0%
104
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
3.0%
20
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,712 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).