YouGov voting intention, 11 May 2026
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 182 of 650 seats on 28.0%, ahead of Conservative on 17.0% (111 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
28.0%
182 seats
▲ 3.0
Conservative
17.0%
111 seats
―
Labour
16.0%
104 seats
▼ 2.0
Green
16.0%
104 seats
▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
13.0%
85 seats
▼ 1.0
Other
5.0%
32 seats
▼ 2.0
Other parties
5.0%
32 seats
▲ 1.0
2 more
SNP
3.0%
19 seats
―
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
13 seats
▲ 1.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 16.0% | 104 |
| Conservative | 17.0% | 111 |
| Liberal Democrats | 13.0% | 85 |
| Reform UK | 28.0% | 182 |
| Green | 16.0% | 104 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 19 |
| Plaid Cymru | 2.0% | 13 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 5.0% | 32 |