Survation
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 176 of 650 seats on 27.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 24.0% (156 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
27.0%
176 seats
▲ 3.0
Reform UK
24.0%
156 seats
▲ 1.0
Conservative
21.0%
137 seats
▲ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
11.0%
71 seats
▼ 1.0
Green
7.0%
46 seats
▼ 6.0
Other
4.0%
26 seats
▼ 2.0
Other parties
6.0%
38 seats
▲ 3.0
3 more
SNP
3.0%
19 seats
▲ 1.0
Restore Britain
2.0%
13 seats
▲ 2.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 27.0% | 176 |
| Conservative | 21.0% | 137 |
| Liberal Democrats | 11.0% | 71 |
| Reform UK | 24.0% | 156 |
| Green | 7.0% | 46 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 19 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 2.0% | 13 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 4.0% | 26 |