Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
169 of 650 seats on 26.0%, ahead of Labour on 19.0% (124 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 10 November 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
26.0%
169 seats▼ 1.0
Labour
19.0%
124 seats▼ 1.0
Conservative
18.0%
117 seats▲ 2.0
Green
15.0%
98 seats▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
91 seats▼ 1.0
SNP
3.0%
19 seats―
Other parties
5.0%
32 seats▲ 2.0
2 more
Other
3.0%
19 seats▲ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
13 seats▲ 1.0
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 03 Nov 2025.
Reform UK26.0%
169 seats
▼ 1.0
Labour19.0%
124 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative18.0%
117 seats
▲ 2.0
Green15.0%
98 seats
▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats14.0%
91 seats
▼ 1.0
SNP3.0%
19 seats
―
Other3.0%
19 seats
▲ 1.0
Plaid Cymru2.0%
13 seats
▲ 1.0
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
19.0%
124
Conservative
18.0%
117
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
91
Reform UK
26.0%
169
Green
15.0%
98
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
13
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
3.0%
19
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,717 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).