Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
158 of 650 seats on 24.0%, ahead of Labour on 23.0% (151 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 22 April 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
24.0%
158 seats▲ 1.0
Labour
23.0%
151 seats▼ 1.0
Conservative
20.0%
131 seats▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
16.0%
105 seats▲ 2.0
Green
10.0%
66 seats▼ 1.0
SNP
3.0%
20 seats―
Other parties
3.0%
19 seats―
2 more
Other
2.0%
13 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 14 Apr 2025.
Reform UK24.0%
158 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour23.0%
151 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative20.0%
131 seats
▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats16.0%
105 seats
▲ 2.0
Green10.0%
66 seats
▼ 1.0
SNP3.0%
20 seats
―
Other2.0%
13 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
23.0%
151
Conservative
20.0%
131
Liberal Democrats
16.0%
105
Reform UK
24.0%
158
Green
10.0%
66
SNP
3.0%
20
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
2.0%
13
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,521 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).