Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
190 of 650 seats on 29.0%, ahead of Labour on 22.0% (144 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 19 May 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
29.0%
190 seats▲ 1.0
Labour
22.0%
144 seats▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
17.0%
112 seats▲ 1.0
Conservative
16.0%
105 seats▼ 2.0
Green
10.0%
66 seats▲ 1.0
SNP
2.0%
13 seats▼ 1.0
Other parties
3.0%
20 seats▼ 1.0
2 more
Other
2.0%
13 seats▼ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 12 May 2025.
Reform UK29.0%
190 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour22.0%
144 seats
▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats17.0%
112 seats
▲ 1.0
Conservative16.0%
105 seats
▼ 2.0
Green10.0%
66 seats
▲ 1.0
SNP2.0%
13 seats
▼ 1.0
Other2.0%
13 seats
▼ 1.0
Plaid Cymru1.0%
7 seats
―
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
22.0%
144
Conservative
16.0%
105
Liberal Democrats
17.0%
112
Reform UK
29.0%
190
Green
10.0%
66
SNP
2.0%
13
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
2.0%
13
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,679 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).