Labour leads but falls short of a majority —
150 of 650 seats on 23.0%, ahead of Conservative on 22.0% (143 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 24 March 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Labour
23.0%
150 seats▼ 3.0
Conservative
22.0%
143 seats―
Reform UK
22.0%
143 seats▼ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
16.0%
104 seats▲ 2.0
Green
10.0%
65 seats▲ 1.0
SNP
3.0%
19 seats―
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats▲ 1.0
2 more
Other
3.0%
20 seats▲ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 17 Mar 2025.
Labour23.0%
150 seats
▼ 3.0
Conservative22.0%
143 seats
―
Reform UK22.0%
143 seats
▼ 2.0
Liberal Democrats16.0%
104 seats
▲ 2.0
Green10.0%
65 seats
▲ 1.0
SNP3.0%
19 seats
―
Other3.0%
20 seats
▲ 1.0
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
23.0%
150
Conservative
22.0%
143
Liberal Democrats
16.0%
104
Reform UK
22.0%
143
Green
10.0%
65
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
3.0%
20
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,694 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).