Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
177 of 650 seats on 27.0%, ahead of Conservative on 17.0% (112 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 27 October 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
27.0%
177 seats▲ 1.0
Labour
17.0%
112 seats▼ 3.0
Conservative
17.0%
112 seats―
Green
16.0%
105 seats▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
98 seats―
SNP
3.0%
20 seats▼ 1.0
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats▲ 1.0
2 more
Other
3.0%
20 seats▲ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 20 Oct 2025.
Reform UK27.0%
177 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour17.0%
112 seats
▼ 3.0
Conservative17.0%
112 seats
―
Green16.0%
105 seats
▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats15.0%
98 seats
―
SNP3.0%
20 seats
▼ 1.0
Other3.0%
20 seats
▲ 1.0
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
17.0%
112
Conservative
17.0%
112
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
98
Reform UK
27.0%
177
Green
16.0%
105
SNP
3.0%
20
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
3.0%
20
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,736 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).