Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
175 of 650 seats on 27.0%, ahead of Labour on 20.0% (130 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 03 November 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
27.0%
175 seats―
Labour
20.0%
130 seats▲ 3.0
Conservative
16.0%
104 seats▼ 1.0
Green
16.0%
104 seats―
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
98 seats―
SNP
3.0%
19 seats―
Other parties
3.0%
20 seats▼ 1.0
2 more
Other
2.0%
13 seats▼ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 27 Oct 2025.
Reform UK27.0%
175 seats
―
Labour20.0%
130 seats
▲ 3.0
Conservative16.0%
104 seats
▼ 1.0
Green16.0%
104 seats
―
Liberal Democrats15.0%
98 seats
―
SNP3.0%
19 seats
―
Other2.0%
13 seats
▼ 1.0
Plaid Cymru1.0%
7 seats
―
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
20.0%
130
Conservative
16.0%
104
Liberal Democrats
15.0%
98
Reform UK
27.0%
175
Green
16.0%
104
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
7
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
2.0%
13
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,696 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).