Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 182 of 650 seats on 28.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 24.0% (156 seats).
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 28.0% | 182 |
| Conservative | 22.0% | 143 |
| Liberal Democrats | 12.0% | 78 |
| Reform UK | 24.0% | 156 |
| Green | 8.0% | 52 |
| SNP | 2.0% | 13 |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.0% | 0 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 4.0% | 26 |