Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
182 of 650 seats on 28.0%, ahead of Labour on 20.0% (130 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 26 August 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
28.0%
182 seats―
Labour
20.0%
130 seats▼ 1.0
Conservative
17.0%
111 seats▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
16.0%
104 seats▲ 1.0
Green
11.0%
72 seats▲ 1.0
Other
4.0%
26 seats―
Other parties
4.0%
25 seats―
2 more
SNP
3.0%
19 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 18 Aug 2025.
Reform UK28.0%
182 seats
―
Labour20.0%
130 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative17.0%
111 seats
▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats16.0%
104 seats
▲ 1.0
Green11.0%
72 seats
▲ 1.0
Other4.0%
26 seats
―
SNP3.0%
19 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
20.0%
130
Conservative
17.0%
111
Liberal Democrats
16.0%
104
Reform UK
28.0%
182
Green
11.0%
72
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
4.0%
26
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,763 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).