YouGov voting intention, 16 March 2026
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 164 of 650 seats on 25.0%, ahead of Green on 19.0% (125 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
25.0%
164 seats
▲ 2.0
Green
19.0%
125 seats
―
Labour
17.0%
112 seats
―
Conservative
17.0%
112 seats
▼ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
92 seats
―
Other
4.0%
26 seats
―
Other parties
3.0%
19 seats
▼ 1.0
2 more
SNP
2.0%
13 seats
―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
▼ 1.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 17.0% | 112 |
| Conservative | 17.0% | 112 |
| Liberal Democrats | 14.0% | 92 |
| Reform UK | 25.0% | 164 |
| Green | 19.0% | 125 |
| SNP | 2.0% | 13 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 4.0% | 26 |