Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
164 of 650 seats on 25.0%, ahead of Green on 19.0% (125 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 16 March 2026
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
25.0%
164 seats▲ 2.0
Green
19.0%
125 seats―
Labour
17.0%
112 seats―
Conservative
17.0%
112 seats▼ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
92 seats―
Other
4.0%
26 seats―
Other parties
3.0%
19 seats▼ 1.0
2 more
SNP
2.0%
13 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats▼ 1.0
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 10 Mar 2026.
Reform UK25.0%
164 seats
▲ 2.0
Green19.0%
125 seats
―
Labour17.0%
112 seats
―
Conservative17.0%
112 seats
▼ 2.0
Liberal Democrats14.0%
92 seats
―
Other4.0%
26 seats
―
SNP2.0%
13 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
▼ 1.0
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
17.0%
112
Conservative
17.0%
112
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
92
Reform UK
25.0%
164
Green
19.0%
125
SNP
2.0%
13
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
4.0%
26
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,686 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).