YouGov voting intention, 16 February 2026
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 158 of 650 seats on 24.0%, ahead of Labour on 19.0% (125 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
24.0%
158 seats
▼ 3.0
Labour
19.0%
125 seats
―
Conservative
18.0%
118 seats
―
Green
17.0%
112 seats
▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
13.0%
85 seats
▼ 1.0
Other
4.0%
26 seats
▲ 2.0
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats
▼ 1.0
2 more
SNP
3.0%
20 seats
―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
▼ 1.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 19.0% | 125 |
| Conservative | 18.0% | 118 |
| Liberal Democrats | 13.0% | 85 |
| Reform UK | 24.0% | 158 |
| Green | 17.0% | 112 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 20 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 4.0% | 26 |