Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
158 of 650 seats on 24.0%, ahead of Labour on 19.0% (125 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 16 February 2026
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
24.0%
158 seats▼ 3.0
Labour
19.0%
125 seats―
Conservative
18.0%
118 seats―
Green
17.0%
112 seats▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
13.0%
85 seats▼ 1.0
Other
4.0%
26 seats▲ 2.0
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats▼ 1.0
2 more
SNP
3.0%
20 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats▼ 1.0
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 09 Feb 2026.
Reform UK24.0%
158 seats
▼ 3.0
Labour19.0%
125 seats
―
Conservative18.0%
118 seats
―
Green17.0%
112 seats
▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats13.0%
85 seats
▼ 1.0
Other4.0%
26 seats
▲ 2.0
SNP3.0%
20 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
▼ 1.0
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
19.0%
125
Conservative
18.0%
118
Liberal Democrats
13.0%
85
Reform UK
24.0%
158
Green
17.0%
112
SNP
3.0%
20
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
4.0%
26
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,759 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).