YouGov voting intention, 14 July 2025
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 179 of 650 seats on 28.0%, ahead of Labour on 22.0% (140 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
28.0%
179 seats
▲ 2.0
Labour
22.0%
140 seats
▼ 2.0
Conservative
17.0%
108 seats
▲ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
16.0%
102 seats
▲ 1.0
Green
12.0%
77 seats
▲ 1.0
SNP
3.0%
19 seats
▼ 1.0
Other parties
4.0%
25 seats
―
2 more
Other
3.0%
19 seats
―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 22.0% | 140 |
| Conservative | 17.0% | 108 |
| Liberal Democrats | 16.0% | 102 |
| Reform UK | 28.0% | 179 |
| Green | 12.0% | 77 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 19 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 3.0% | 19 |