Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
161 of 650 seats on 25.0%, ahead of Conservative on 20.0% (129 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 22 June 2026
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
25.0%
161 seats▲ 1.0
Conservative
20.0%
129 seats▲ 1.0
Labour
18.0%
116 seats▼ 1.0
Green
15.0%
97 seats―
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
90 seats▲ 1.0
Other
5.0%
32 seats▼ 1.0
Other parties
4.0%
25 seats▲ 1.0
2 more
SNP
3.0%
19 seats▲ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 15 Jun 2026.
Reform UK25.0%
161 seats
▲ 1.0
Conservative20.0%
129 seats
▲ 1.0
Labour18.0%
116 seats
▼ 1.0
Green15.0%
97 seats
―
Liberal Democrats14.0%
90 seats
▲ 1.0
Other5.0%
32 seats
▼ 1.0
SNP3.0%
19 seats
▲ 1.0
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
18.0%
116
Conservative
20.0%
129
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
90
Reform UK
25.0%
161
Green
15.0%
97
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
5.0%
32
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,714 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).