YouGov voting intention, 22 September 2025
Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority — 190 of 650 seats on 29.0%, ahead of Labour on 21.0% (138 seats).
Hung parliament
Reform UK
29.0%
190 seats
―
Labour
21.0%
138 seats
▲ 1.0
Conservative
16.0%
105 seats
▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
92 seats
▼ 1.0
Green
12.0%
79 seats
▲ 2.0
SNP
3.0%
20 seats
―
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats
▼ 1.0
2 more
Other
3.0%
20 seats
▼ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 21.0% | 138 |
| Conservative | 16.0% | 105 |
| Liberal Democrats | 14.0% | 92 |
| Reform UK | 29.0% | 190 |
| Green | 12.0% | 79 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 20 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 3.0% | 20 |