Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
190 of 650 seats on 29.0%, ahead of Labour on 21.0% (138 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 22 September 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
29.0%
190 seats―
Labour
21.0%
138 seats▲ 1.0
Conservative
16.0%
105 seats▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
92 seats▼ 1.0
Green
12.0%
79 seats▲ 2.0
SNP
3.0%
20 seats―
Other parties
4.0%
26 seats▼ 1.0
2 more
Other
3.0%
20 seats▼ 1.0
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 15 Sep 2025.
Reform UK29.0%
190 seats
―
Labour21.0%
138 seats
▲ 1.0
Conservative16.0%
105 seats
▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats14.0%
92 seats
▼ 1.0
Green12.0%
79 seats
▲ 2.0
SNP3.0%
20 seats
―
Other3.0%
20 seats
▼ 1.0
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
0%10%20%30%40%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
21.0%
138
Conservative
16.0%
105
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
92
Reform UK
29.0%
190
Green
12.0%
79
SNP
3.0%
20
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
3.0%
20
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,726 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).