Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
164 of 650 seats on 25.0%, ahead of Labour on 24.0% (158 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 03 February 2025
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
25.0%
164 seats▲ 2.0
Labour
24.0%
158 seats▼ 3.0
Conservative
21.0%
138 seats▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
92 seats―
Green
9.0%
59 seats―
SNP
3.0%
20 seats―
Other parties
3.0%
19 seats―
2 more
Other
2.0%
13 seats―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 27 Jan 2025.
Reform UK25.0%
164 seats
▲ 2.0
Labour24.0%
158 seats
▼ 3.0
Conservative21.0%
138 seats
▼ 1.0
Liberal Democrats14.0%
92 seats
―
Green9.0%
59 seats
―
SNP3.0%
20 seats
―
Other2.0%
13 seats
―
Plaid Cymru1.0%
6 seats
―
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
24.0%
158
Conservative
21.0%
138
Liberal Democrats
14.0%
92
Reform UK
25.0%
164
Green
9.0%
59
SNP
3.0%
20
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
2.0%
13
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,836 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).