Reform UK leads but falls short of a majority —
156 of 650 seats on 24.0%, ahead of Conservative on 19.0% (124 seats).
YouGovFieldwork 13 July 2026
Hung parliament
326 seats needed for a majority
Reform UK
24.0%
156 seats▼ 1.0
Labour
19.0%
124 seats▼ 1.0
Conservative
19.0%
124 seats▼ 2.0
Green
15.0%
98 seats▲ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
13.0%
84 seats▲ 1.0
Other
5.0%
32 seats―
Other parties
5.0%
32 seats―
2 more
SNP
3.0%
19 seats―
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
13 seats―
Vote share
Share of the vote, with movement since YouGov
on 06 Jul 2026.
Reform UK24.0%
156 seats
▼ 1.0
Labour19.0%
124 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative19.0%
124 seats
▼ 2.0
Green15.0%
98 seats
▲ 2.0
Liberal Democrats13.0%
84 seats
▲ 1.0
Other5.0%
32 seats
―
SNP3.0%
19 seats
―
Plaid Cymru2.0%
13 seats
―
0%10%20%30%
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650.
Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a
constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
Party
Vote share
Projected seats
Labour
19.0%
124
Conservative
19.0%
124
Liberal Democrats
13.0%
84
Reform UK
24.0%
156
Green
15.0%
98
SNP
3.0%
19
Plaid Cymru
2.0%
13
Sinn Féin
0.0%
0
DUP
0.0%
0
SDLP
0.0%
0
Alliance
0.0%
0
UUP
0.0%
0
Alba
0.0%
0
Independent
0.0%
0
Other
5.0%
32
Now, thinking specifically about your own constituency, if there were a general election held tomorrow and these were the parties standing, which party would you vote for?
Base: 1,732 GB adults.
Imported from voting-intention.xlsx (All adults).