BMG Research for The i Paper
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 182 of 650 seats on 28.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 23.0% (150 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
28.0%
182 seats
▲ 1.0
Reform UK
23.0%
150 seats
▼ 1.0
Conservative
20.0%
130 seats
▼ 1.0
Green
9.0%
59 seats
▲ 2.0
Liberal Democrats
8.0%
52 seats
▼ 3.0
Restore Britain
7.0%
46 seats
▲ 5.0
Other parties
5.0%
31 seats
▼ 3.0
3 more
SNP
3.0%
19 seats
―
Plaid Cymru
1.0%
6 seats
―
Other
1.0%
6 seats
▼ 3.0
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 28.0% | 182 |
| Conservative | 20.0% | 130 |
| Liberal Democrats | 8.0% | 52 |
| Reform UK | 23.0% | 150 |
| Green | 9.0% | 59 |
| SNP | 3.0% | 19 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0% | 6 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 7.0% | 46 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 1.0% | 6 |