Ipsos
Labour leads but falls short of a majority — 191 of 650 seats on 27.0%, ahead of Reform UK on 23.0% (162 seats).
Hung parliament
Labour
27.0%
191 seats
▼ 2.0
Reform UK
23.0%
162 seats
▼ 2.0
Conservative
21.0%
148 seats
▲ 2.0
Green
13.0%
92 seats
▲ 4.0
Liberal Democrats
8.0%
57 seats
―
Projected Commons seats from this poll alone, out of 650. Seat estimates are modelled from vote share and are not a constituency-level forecast.
Full results for all parties
| Party | Vote share | Projected seats |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 27.0% | 191 |
| Conservative | 21.0% | 148 |
| Liberal Democrats | 8.0% | 57 |
| Reform UK | 23.0% | 162 |
| Green | 13.0% | 92 |
| SNP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.0% | 0 |
| Sinn Féin | 0.0% | 0 |
| DUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| SDLP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance | 0.0% | 0 |
| UUP | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba | 0.0% | 0 |
| Restore Britain | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 0.0% | 0 |
| Other | 0.0% | 0 |