New figures from the Resolution Foundation and the IFS suggest the Budget's policy changes are modest in scale. They are reported by the Conservative Post and have not been checked against the think tanks' own publications.
The outlet reports that the Resolution Foundation ranks the Chancellor John Healey's Budget 19th biggest of the 34 fiscal events since 2010. It puts new policy changes at £7bn by the end of the forecast, against an average of £72bn across the previous two budgets.
It also relays a comparison reported by The Telegraph. According to that report, the IFS calculates that Budget measures will save the average family £140 by next July. That is around a third of the typical £400 rise in energy and fuel costs over the same period. The arithmetic holds, since £140 is 35% of £400.
The Conservative Post says the Resolution Foundation expects energy bills to average £2,210 across 2027, up £600, or 38%, on the 2026 average. Support worth up to £116 would offset less than a fifth of that rise. These figures use a different basis from the foundation's £1,750 net bill forecast for 2026-27.
It also reports the foundation as saying around four in five English properties qualify for the £100 payment. About one in eight households in the bottom half of incomes live in higher-band homes and miss out.