ایتا - علی‌اکبر رائفی‌پور

The text is a set of about 16 short posts from the Eitaa channel of Ali-Akbar Raefipour. None of the posts cite sources. They cover Iranian, US, Israeli, Iraqi and Lebanese news, plus one religion-and-science item. I dated 19 Aban 1405 as 10 November 2026. Targeted research confirmed most of the hard news: Thomas Massie's impeachment articles against Hegseth and his remark about the Democrats; a tanker hit off Oman on 10 November; the Majlis bill to remove the ijtihad requirement for the intelligence minister, including the two new organisations and the Sunday 24 Aban timing; the disappearance of former Iraqi MP Ahmed al-Alwani in Beirut; the clash between Bennett, Ben-Gvir and Sara Netanyahu at the new Knesset; Trump's F-22 UFO remarks; the Reuters/Ipsos poll showing 71%; and Haaretz's finding of 1,653 fake 'Iranian' X accounts. Several details could not be confirmed or are misleading. The Baku deportation of Chehregani and his 2003 'collapse in 3–5 years' prediction have no reputable sourcing. The nightclub-in-Raouche detail of the al-Alwani story conflicts with Lebanese and Iraqi accounts (airport, then apartment), and he was later reported found dead. The hadith is cited correctly (Abu Dawud 2489), but the post leaves out that hadith scholars widely grade it weak. The '$80 oil' figure fits WTI (about $85–86), not Brent (about $93–98). Credibility is lowered further by dehumanising language ('جرثومه'), celebration of attacks on shipping ('تیر غیب', 'بی‌تربیت'), speculation presented as analysis, and near-verbatim reuse of Fararu copy without credit.

What checked out (13)

• C1 (partly): Mahmudali Chehregani was born in Shabestar, East Azerbaijan, and was a former lecturer/linguistics professor at the University of Tabriz. He founded the Southern Azerbaijan National Awakening Movement (GAMOH/SANAM) in 2002. Sources: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mahmudali_Chehregani ; https://www.amnesty.org/en/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/mde130102006en.pdf ; https://www.wikiwand.com/en/Southern_Azerbaijan_National_Awakening_Movement. Note: the Washington Times (2003) instead calls him a former University of Tehran professor, which is a small discrepancy.
• C2 (partly): Chehregani was active in Washington in 2003 and openly sought regime change in Iran. At the time he called for a 'democratic, secular and federal' Iran, which supports the post's claim that his positions shifted over time. Source: https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2003/jun/3/20030603-103140-3533r/ (3 June 2003).
• C3: Thomas Massie (R-KY) filed impeachment articles against Pete Hegseth. He said: 'When the Democrats get control in January, they're not going to be as polite as I am.' The Hill reports he called his resolution 'much gentler' than what Democrats plan. Sources: https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/thomas-massie-says-hegseth-not-154838518.html ; https://www.cbsnews.com/news/pete-hegseth-impeachment-vote-house-thomas-massie/ ; https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/6201135-massie-threatens-democrat-impeachment/ (November 2026).
• C4: A tanker was struck by an unidentified projectile off Oman on Tuesday 10 November 2026, according to UKMTO. JMIC counts several such attacks near Musandam since 1 November. Sources: https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/tanker-struck-by-unidentified-projectile-off-oman-uk-maritime-agency/4119386 ; https://www.arabnews.com/middle-east/tanker-struck-by-unknown-projectile-off-oman-ukmto-says-3010988 ; https://safety4sea.com/us-disables-bulk-carrier-as-tanker-attacks-continue-near-strait-of-hormuz/
• C6: The National Security Commission has filed an urgent ('dou-fouriyati') bill to remove the ijtihad requirement for the intelligence minister. It is scheduled for the open session on Sunday 24 Aban. It would create two new organisations, 'Hefazat-e Ettela'at' and 'Aghidati-Siasi', whose heads would be appointed by the Leader, as in the Defence Ministry model. Sources: https://fararu.com/fa/news/1016090 ; https://akharinkhabar.ir/politics/11069050 (ISNA, spokesman Abbas Goudarzi, 19/08/1405) ; https://1news.az/en/news/20261111102007465-Iran-s-parliament-to-consider-bill-abolishing-religious-requirements-for-intelligence-minister
• C7 (core): Former Iraqi MP Ahmed al-Alwani went missing in Beirut and was reported kidnapped. The Iraqi embassy and Lebanese security services were following the case. He is a Sunni politician from Anbar who was previously imprisoned under a death sentence. Sources: https://www.mtv.com.lb/en/news/1757071 ; http://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-914526
• C8: When the 26th Knesset was sworn in (10 November 2026), Netanyahu attacked the Arab parties. Bennett interrupted him about advisers who were paid by Qatar, and Ben-Gvir and Sara Netanyahu then shouted at Bennett. Sources: https://www.timesofisrael.com/netanyahu-the-arab-parties-seek-to-destroy-the-jewish-state-they-must-not-be-part-of-a-government/ ; https://www.ynetnews.com/article/sjfebplczx ; https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/world/you-shameless-man-netanyahus-wife-sara-clashes-with-ex-pm-bennett-during-netanyahus-parliament-address
• C9: On 60 Minutes, Trump said Air Force pilots described a round, non-aerodynamic object flying about three times faster than an F-22. He also pledged to look into secret government UFO programmes. Sources: https://www.yahoo.com/news/science/articles/trump-says-air-force-pilots-155734984.html ; https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3373863/trump-recounts-pilots-very-strange-ufo-stories-says-he-remains-sceptical ; https://www.ibtimes.co.uk/three-times-their-speed-donald-trump-details-us-air-force-pilots-very-strange-ufo-encounters-1831078
• C10: A Reuters/Ipsos poll found 71% of Americans want the new Democratic-majority Congress to act to end the Iran war. Sources: https://www.militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-congress/2026/11/10/most-americans-want-new-democratic-congress-to-end-trumps-iran-war-poll-finds/ ; https://www.timesofisrael.com/71-of-americans-want-new-democratic-congress-to-end-trumps-iran-war-poll-finds/
• C12: Abu Dawud 2489 exists and is the hadith about sailing only for hajj, umrah or jihad, which contains the 'fire beneath the sea' wording. Source: https://sunnah.com/abudawud/15
• C13: In 2014, hydrous ringwoodite was found in a diamond from Juína, Brazil (Pearson et al., Nature, 13 March 2014). This points to water in the transition zone at about 410–660 km depth. Separately, Science published Schmandt & Jacobsen (2014) on dehydration melting. Sources: https://www.nature.com/articles/nature13080 ; https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.1253358 ; https://phys.org/news/2014-03-water-rich-gem-vast-oceans-beneath.html
• C14: Haaretz exposed a network of 1,653 X accounts posing as Iranians that amplified Netanyahu and urged votes for him in Hebrew. Many had previously promoted Reza Pahlavi, and after the election they went back to posting about Iran. Sources: https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/security-aviation/2026-11-10/ty-article-magazine/.premium/fake-iranian-accounts-campaigned-for-netanyahu-ahead-of-israels-election/000001a1-ba23-d146-ada9-fa3f8aaa0000 ; https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/fake-iranian-accounts-campaigned-netanyahu-ahead-israeli-election ; https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/security-aviation/2026-10-22/ty-article-magazine/.premium/fake-accounts-used-against-irans-regime-now-amplify-netanyahus-attacks/000001a1-62bb-d64b-a1ff-7fffaa440000
• C15: Earlier work by Citizen Lab (the 'PRISONBREAK' network) and Haaretz exposed fake accounts and AI-generated content pushing Pahlavi and revolt in Iran. Sources: https://x.com/citizenlab/status/1974154097785004380 ; https://oecd.ai/en/incidents/2025-10-03-2f17

• C1b: Chehregani ran from Tabriz in the 5th Majlis elections (1374–75) and 'could not win votes'. Only a tertiary source (Wikipedia) refers to a campaign, and I found no primary results data or dated reporting on the outcome. Unverified.
• C2b: In Washington in 2003 he predicted the Iranian government would fall within 3–5 years. The 2003 Washington Times piece confirms his regime-change aims but not this specific prediction. Unverified.
• C2c: In 2006 he went to Baku and Aliyev's government deported him from the airport. The only source found is an undated, anonymous blog post (http://azerbaycannews.blogfa.com/post/77) describing a deportation from Baku; I found no reputable dated confirmation of the year or circumstances. Unverified.
• C5: Oil 'entering the $80 channel'. This is partly accurate depending on the benchmark. WTI was about $85–86 on 10 November 2026 (https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/crude-oil), while Brent was about $93–98 (https://fortune.com/article/price-of-oil-11-10-2026/). The claim that the region 'has an oil leak' and the prediction about Democrats and a 'Trump naval blockade' are speculation and cannot be verified.
• C7b: Al-Alwani was abducted 'after leaving a nightclub in the Raouche area'. Not confirmed, and it conflicts with available reporting: his office says he went from the airport to his lodging (https://964media.com/735170/), others say he was lured to an apartment in Tariq al-Jadida (http://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-914526 ; https://aawsat.com/), and Sky News Arabia reports a ransom motive. He was later reported strangled (https://english.alarabiya.net/News/middle-east/2026/11/11/iraqi-exlawmaker-found-strangled-to-death-in-lebanese-capital-of-beirut). Two reputable sources do not explicitly refute the nightclub detail, so it stays Unverified rather than False.
• C11: The 'meaningful post by the Leader's media' quoting a revenge poem with #انتقام_قطعی_است. Retaliation rhetoric after Ali Khamenei's killing is well documented (https://www.iranintl.com/en/202610287823), but I found no copy of this specific post. Unverified.
• C16: The Haaretz story was 'via a Times of Israel report'. I could not find a Times of Israel article on the 1,653-account investigation; the primary source is Haaretz itself. The attribution is Unverified.
• C13b: The transition zone 'may hold the equivalent of several oceans'. This reflects published estimates but is model-dependent. The post presents it as a firmer finding than the literature does.

Confidence

Medium — Multiple independent, dated sources from November 2026 confirm most news claims, which gives high confidence in those verdicts. Overall confidence is lowered to Medium for four reasons: the Chehregani biography could not be sourced; some key sources (Haaretz, original Eitaa posts) were only partly accessible; the Leader's-media post could not be checked; and the al-Alwani story kept changing during the window being assessed. The trust score of 56 balances largely accurate core facts against unsourced presentation, embellished or unverifiable details, a misleading religious-science framing, and strongly manipulative, dehumanising language.

Search journal

Mahmudali Chehregani deported Baku airport 2006

• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mahmudali_Chehregani
• https://www.amnesty.org/en/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/mde130102006en.pdf
• https://www.wikiwand.com/en/Southern_Azerbaijan_National_Awakening_Movement

چهرگانی فرودگاه باکو اخراج ۲۰۰۶

• http://azerbaycannews.blogfa.com/post/77
• https://fa.wikipedia.org/wiki/%DA%AF%D8%A7%D9%85%D9%88%D8%AD

Chehregani 2003 Washington regime collapse three to five years

• https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2003/jun/3/20030603-103140-3533r/

Chehregani parliamentary candidate Tabriz 1996 disqualified

• https://www.amnesty.org/en/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/mde130122000en.pdf
• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mahmudali_Chehregani

Thomas Massie Hegseth impeachment polite Democrats January

• https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/thomas-massie-says-hegseth-not-154838518.html
• https://www.cbsnews.com/news/pete-hegseth-impeachment-vote-house-thomas-massie/
• https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/6201135-massie-threatens-democrat-impeachment/

UKMTO tanker Oman November 10 2026

• https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/tanker-struck-by-unidentified-projectile-off-oman-uk-maritime-agency/4119386
• https://www.arabnews.com/middle-east/tanker-struck-by-unknown-projectile-off-oman-ukmto-says-3010988
• https://safety4sea.com/us-disables-bulk-carrier-as-tanker-attacks-continue-near-strait-of-hormuz/

oil price $80 November 2026 / WTI crude price November 10 2026

• https://fortune.com/article/price-of-oil-11-10-2026/
• https://fortune.com/article/price-of-oil-11-09-2026/
• https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/crude-oil

طرح دوفوریتی حذف شرط اجتهاد وزیر اطلاعات حفاظت اطلاعات عقیدتی سیاسی

• https://fararu.com/fa/news/1016090
• https://akharinkhabar.ir/politics/11069050
• https://1news.az/en/news/20261111102007465-Iran-s-parliament-to-consider-bill-abolishing-religious-requirem...

Ahmed al-Alwani kidnapped Beirut / العلوانی ملهى ليلي الروشة بيروت خطف

• https://www.mtv.com.lb/en/news/1757071
• http://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-914526
• https://964media.com/735170/
• https://english.alarabiya.net/News/middle-east/2026/11/11/iraqi-exlawmaker-found-strangled-to-death-in-leba...

Sara Netanyahu Bennett Ben Gvir Knesset swearing-in shouting

• https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/world/you-shameless-man-netanyahus-wife-sara-clashes-with-ex-pm-bennett-d...
• https://www.ynetnews.com/article/sjfebplczx
• https://www.timesofisrael.com/netanyahu-the-arab-parties-seek-to-destroy-the-jewish-state-they-must-not-be-...

Trump F-22 UFO spherical object three times speed

• https://www.yahoo.com/news/science/articles/trump-says-air-force-pilots-155734984.html
• https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3373863/trump-recounts-pilots-very-strange-ufo-stories-sa...

71% Americans want end Iran war Congress poll

• https://www.militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-congress/2026/11/10/most-americans-want-new-democratic-congress...
• https://www.timesofisrael.com/71-of-americans-want-new-democratic-congress-to-end-trumps-iran-war-poll-finds/

Sunan Abu Dawud 2489 under the sea is fire

• https://sunnah.com/abudawud/15
• https://www.researchgate.net/publication/380407409_Is_the_Scientific_Miracle_in_the_Hadith_'Beneath_the_sea...

ringwoodite diamond Brazil water 2014 Nature Pearson / Schmandt Jacobsen 2014 Science

• https://www.nature.com/articles/nature13080
• https://phys.org/news/2014-03-water-rich-gem-vast-oceans-beneath.html
• https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.1253358

Haaretz 1653 fake accounts X Netanyahu Pahlavi / Times of Israel fake Iranian accounts Netanyahu 1,653

• https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/security-aviation/2026-11-10/ty-article-magazine/.premium/fake-iranian-...
• https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/fake-iranian-accounts-campaigned-netanyahu-ahead-israeli-election

Citizen Lab Pahlavi AI fake accounts influence operation Israel

• https://x.com/citizenlab/status/1974154097785004380
• https://oecd.ai/en/incidents/2025-10-03-2f17

Khamenei website post revenge certain November 2026

• https://www.iranintl.com/en/202610287823
• https://www.iranintl.com/en/202607116475

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