Keir Starmer has reportedly told close allies that he plans to step down as Prime Minister and outline a formal timetable for his departure from Downing Street.
According to senior Cabinet sources, Starmer has privately accepted that the current political turmoil engulfing his leadership cannot continue indefinitely. One Cabinet minister claimed the Prime Minister now wants to manage his exit “with dignity” and on his own terms, rather than being forced out by events.
However, there is still disagreement inside Government over exactly when any announcement should come. Some of Starmer’s remaining allies are said to be urging him to delay any decision until polling and canvassing data from the upcoming Makerfield by-election is returned.
Former chief of staff Morgan McSweeney is reportedly among those encouraging Starmer to hold on, arguing that if Andy Burnham struggles in the contest or the race appears close, there could still be a route back for the Prime Minister politically.
But other ministers believe waiting would only deepen the humiliation for Starmer if Burnham wins comfortably and is seen as the figure who ultimately forced him from office.
The uncertainty is also creating tensions inside Andy Burnham’s camp. Some of Burnham’s allies reportedly believe it would be politically cleaner if Starmer remains leader throughout the Makerfield contest, allowing Burnham to campaign as the candidate promising to “go to Westminster and force change at No 10”.
Publicly, Burnham’s team has insisted they are relaxed about whatever decision Starmer makes, saying their focus remains on securing Burnham’s selection and winning the by-election.
Behind the scenes, however, Labour divisions have continued to intensify.
Throughout the week, Starmer’s position inside Government reportedly swung dramatically between resignation planning and defiance. Following a wave of resignations from junior ministers earlier in the week, the Prime Minister is said to have begun sounding out senior colleagues about how an orderly transition could work.
But tensions escalated after aggressive briefings against him allegedly emerged from figures linked to senior Cabinet ministers, including allies of Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood.
One source claimed Starmer felt furious that while he was trying to handle the situation responsibly, other figures inside Government were already manoeuvring behind his back.
At one stage, Chief Secretary to the Treasury Darren Jones appeared to hint publicly that discussions about Starmer’s future were taking place. But according to Government insiders, Downing Street later abruptly changed strategy and decided to temporarily “dig in” instead.
Despite that, mistrust inside the Cabinet reportedly continued to spiral. Starmer allies are said to believe some ministers who publicly backed him were privately encouraging MPs to push for his resignation, while others were allegedly negotiating positions in a future post-Starmer Cabinet.
The situation worsened dramatically on Thursday.
Downing Street had reportedly hoped positive announcements on the economy and falling NHS waiting lists could help shift political momentum back in Starmer’s favour. But that strategy quickly unravelled.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves raised eyebrows during a BBC interview when she highlighted funding she had secured for the NHS using the phrase “I’ve been able to put into the Health Service”, which some ministers interpreted as an attempt to politically distance herself from Starmer.
Soon afterwards, Health Secretary Wes Streeting resigned from the Cabinet, dealing another major blow to the Prime Minister’s authority.
That was followed by confirmation that Labour MP Josh Simons would resign his seat in Makerfield, opening the door for Andy Burnham to return to Westminster.
According to ministers, No 10 had previously believed Burnham was bluffing about securing a parliamentary route back into frontline politics. Simons stepping aside reportedly stunned Downing Street.
A last-minute attempt was then allegedly launched by Starmer allies to persuade Labour’s National Executive Committee to block Burnham from standing in the by-election.
But the move reportedly failed after Deputy Labour Leader Lucy Powell organised a rapid consultation process that caught Downing Street completely off guard.
One NEC member reportedly claimed the decision was effectively completed before Starmer’s team even realised what was happening.
Despite repeatedly surviving political crises throughout his leadership, sources close to the Prime Minister now believe Starmer recognises his position may finally be untenable.
One friend previously described him as politically stubborn, saying he always believed “nothing is written in stone” and that he could survive almost any crisis.
But according to insiders, many around him now believe his political lives have finally run out.