Nigel Farage has claimed Reform UK has become the UK’s largest political party by membership after the party’s website displayed a running total of more than 270,000 “paid-up” members, amid reports that Labour’s paying membership has dropped below 250,000.
The Reform figure, shown on a live counter on the party’s website, was being cited by senior party figures and shared widely online in mid-December. The comparison is politically sensitive for Labour, which is in government and facing a membership slump and internal criticism over policy decisions including changes to Winter Fuel Payments.
“As we have suspected for some time, Reform is now the largest political party in British politics – a huge milestone for us,” Farage said in comments carried by The Independent. “The age of two-party politics is dead.”
Labour declined to confirm any current membership total and said it reports figures annually. A party spokesperson said: “Our membership figures are published in our annual report. We do not give a running commentary on them throughout the year.”
The Times has reported, citing an internal leak, that Labour’s “paid-up” membership has fallen below 250,000, down by around 100,000 since the general election. The newspaper said the party had been losing members at the rate of one every seven minutes since taking office, though Labour has not published a current figure and the internal number has not been released in full.
Reform’s publicly displayed counter showed 268,631 “paid-up” members in reporting by The Independent on 12 December. An archived capture of the same page showed 268,294 on 5 December. Reform’s standard membership fee is £25 a year, according to its online join page, which also states membership is set to renew automatically.
However, analysts and political opponents have questioned whether Reform’s claim is directly comparable with Labour’s figures, because the parties count, verify and publish membership totals in different ways.
Unlike Labour’s annual reporting, Reform’s total is presented as a real-time, public-facing ticker. While Reform has said the counter is linked to membership sign-ups and payment activity, the underlying methodology has not been independently verified. Without a published audit trail or agreed definition across parties, it is not possible to confirm from public information whether the number represents net current paying members, gross sign-ups, or another category that may not immediately account for cancellations, failed renewals, refunds or chargebacks.
The dispute reflects a broader problem with UK political membership data: there is no standardised definition of “member”, parties are not obliged to publish membership totals, and like-for-like comparisons are often difficult. The House of Commons Library has previously noted that party membership figures can be hard to compare and that annual accounts are typically among the more reliable sources when they disclose a total.
Labour’s most recent audited accounts, for the year ending 31 December 2024, reported total individual membership of 333,235, down from 370,450 the previous year. The current reported figure of below 250,000 refers specifically to “paid-up” members, a term used in media reports to distinguish those fully up to date with subscriptions from those on the membership system but in arrears or within grace periods.
That distinction matters operationally. Labour membership is tied to internal participation rights and rulebook processes, and the party has formal procedures for members whose payments fail before they are removed from the roll. Because those processes operate on set timelines, a “paid-up” figure can fall faster than the overall number of people still recorded as members under party rules.
Reform’s model appears designed for faster acquisition and public visibility. Its membership total is displayed prominently and updates regularly, creating a readily shareable indicator of growth. Digital onboarding also allows immediate counting of completed sign-ups, while cancellations and failed Direct Debits can take longer to be processed and reconciled, depending on how a system is configured.
The credibility of Reform’s ticker has been contested before. During a row last Christmas, Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch was reported to have accused Reform of running a membership counter “coded to tick up automatically”. Reform rejected the allegation, and the episode highlighted how difficult it can be for outsiders to verify a figure produced by internal systems, even when the number is displayed publicly.
Sir John Curtice, the polling expert, said Reform’s rise in the polls represented the most sustained challenge to the two-party system since the early 1980s, but suggested Reform’s support might have stabilised at around 30 per cent unless circumstances changed. “I think my view for a long time has been that barring exceptional circumstances for Reform, 30 per cent or just a little bit above, seems to be the plateau, because they are very, very much pursuing a niche market,” Curtice told The Independent.
Curtice also warned Reform’s performance was heavily dependent on Farage, and said attempts to scrutinise the Reform leader were affecting polling.
Reform’s membership narrative has coincided with scrutiny of the party’s funding. Electoral Commission disclosures reported in early December included a £9m donation from the crypto investor Christopher Harborne, described in ITV reporting as a record gift to the party. The scale of large political donations has remained in the political spotlight, with renewed calls from civil society groups for donation caps.
Labour’s membership difficulties have been linked in political reporting to policy and factional tensions since taking office. The government’s decision in 2024 to means-test Winter Fuel Payments prompted anger among some Labour supporters and was followed by sustained criticism from unions and campaigners, even after a partial reversal was discussed the following year. Labour has also faced pressure on its left flank, with newer organising efforts seeking to attract disillusioned members and activists.
Reform’s claim that it is now the largest party by membership is therefore landing at a moment when membership numbers carry heightened political weight as symbols of momentum, organisational strength and legitimacy. But the lack of a shared definition, combined with different publication practices, means the headline comparison remains contested.
In practical terms, establishing a like-for-like answer would require both parties to publish comparable criteria for what counts as “paid-up”, how arrears and grace periods are treated, and how quickly cancellations and failed payments are removed from totals. It would also require some form of independent assurance reconciling membership databases with payment records over a defined time period.
For now, Labour is pointing to its annual accounts as the formal record, while Reform is continuing to present a live membership tally as evidence of growth. Farage’s wider argument—that the rise of Reform signals the end of two-party politics—rests not only on membership totals but on whether the party can convert sign-ups into votes and parliamentary seats under the first-past-the-post system.
The row over numbers is likely to intensify pressure on both parties: on Labour to address the causes of its reported membership decline, and on Reform to explain in detail how its live counter defines and verifies “paid-up” membership.